Tag Archives: Lawrence Wright

600,000 Pandemic deaths in the United Kingdom ! ! !

Yes, 600,000 pandemic deaths in the UK given their attack rate of 182/100,000 and a population the size of the USA (328 million) actually it’s even worse than that because their case fatality rate is 2.9 % and ours is 1.8% — so multiply the 600,000 deaths by 1.6 and you get a million deaths in the UK given their attack rate and case fatality rate (and scaling their population to match ours).

Where are these numbers coming from — the same place that those in the previous post came from — https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality, Johns Hopkins. 

Here are the top ten attack rates per 100,000 population from the previous post

181.70, 180.83, 158.39, 155.25, 152.49, 143.61. 142.73, 140.98, 124.72, 118.50

You were asked to guess where the USA, and the UK were.  No the USA is not at the top, but in the middle (hardly great but not as bad as the 500,000 headline would imply).  The UK is at the top. 

Here are the 10 countries (alphabetized) from which these rates were drawn

Czech Republic, France, Italy, Mexico, Peru, Portugal, Slovakia, Spain, United Kingdom, USA

Here are the case fatality rates (in percent) from the same 10 countries

8.8, 3.5, 3.4, 2.9, 2.3, 2.2, 2.1, 2.0, 1.8, 1.7

The UK is 2.9 and the US among the lowest at 1.8  

Not what you’ve likely been led to believe.  

There are worse problems afoot for the USA.  Granted the following  are 3 small and nonrandomized samples, but the minorities who need it the most aren’t getting the vaccine (and not because it is being withheld from them).

Sample #1 Yrs Trly and wife second shot yesterday —

My wife and I received the booster dose of the Pfizer vaccine today. We live in a town that is 45% Latino (mostly Puerto Rican). Both times we were there, the vaccinees were almost all Caucasian, a disaster in the making. The nurse I spoke with said that what we’d seen about Latinos not getting vaccinated was typical in her experience. She also noted misinformation going around among them, such that vaccination would make you sterile.

Sample #2 a friend who was vaccinated elsewhere (but in the same metro area)- “That was my experience at the State Curative site at XXXXXXX. Large African-American population in that area; however, only caucasians getting the vaccines on both occasions. Puzzling.”

Sample #3 a college classmate and friend –Welcome to the club. I received my vaccine through Hopkins as a practicing clinician. My wife received hers as a DC resident through the DC Government in a Black neighborhood; all of the vaccinees there were whites from Foggy Bottom and Georgetown. the DC Government then got smart and has been allocating vaccine by specific neighborhood.

Now there was a giant article in the 4 January New Yorker by Lawrence Wright blaming the magnitude of the pandemic on Trump’s not pushing mask wearing. 

Well here’s our Vice President — https://abc7ny.com/vice-presidential-debate-vp-2020-kamala-harris/6852144/

Harris was asked if Americans should take the vaccine and if she would. Harris says that if doctors “tells us that we should take it, I’ll be the first in line to take it, absolutely. But if Donald Trump tells us that we should take it, I’m not taking it.”  Well he did tell us exactly that. 

Is it her fault that minorities aren’t taking the vaccine?  Don’t wait for the New Yorker to take up the issue.